Black Friday 2025 (November 28, 2025) is the single best shopping day to score deals on flagship phones — but Apple gear behaves differently than other electronics. If you’re watching the iPhone 16 (and the Pro/Plus/Ultra variants), here’s a clear, realistic breakdown of price predictions, best places to buy, and how to snag the biggest savings
Check live iPhone 16 Black Friday offers now → https://amzn.to/3LFgrT0
🔎 iPhone 16 Black Friday 2025 price prediction
- iPhone 16 (base model) — Expect modest discounts: $30–$150 off or gift-card bundles. Realistic sale price range: $699–$829 (depends on configuration and pre-sale pricing).
- iPhone 16 Plus / 16 Pro / 16 Pro Max — Expect bundles & carrier promos more than big straight discounts. Typical offers: $100–$300 off via trade-in + carrier credits, or free accessories / AppleCare discounts.
- Best value play — carrier deals and retailer bundles (Amazon, Best Buy, Walmart) that pair the phone with gift cards, discounted AirPods, or monthly bill credits.
- Refurbished / Renewed — Apple Certified Refurbished and Amazon Renewed may deliver 10–20% lower prices during BF week.
Note: These are predictions, not guarantees. Apple rarely cuts MSRP deeply — instead, retailers/carriers add incentives.
ALSO READ- Black Friday 2025 Deals Leak — Early Discounts, Leaked Ads & Massive Price Drops Revealed
🧠 Why iPhone discounts are different in 2025
Apple traditionally protects iPhone MSRP — you’ll rarely see slashed list prices like TVs. Instead, savings are driven by:
- Carrier subsidies & trade-ins — carriers (Verizon, AT&T, T-Mobile) often offer the biggest effective discounts via monthly bill credits when you trade in an older device.
- Retailer bundles — Amazon, Best Buy, Walmart, Target often bundle with gift cards or add free accessories (AirPods at a discount).
- Apple Certified Refurbished — Apple’s own refurbished program and approved resellers offer meaningful savings on like-new phones.
- Financing & cashback — 0% APR financing and card-linked cashback deals (Amex, Citibank) amplify savings.
💸 best iPhone 16 deals Amazon Black Friday 2025
Below are plausible price scenarios you can use in guides or deal-watch posts.
best iPhone 16 deals Amazon Black Friday 2025
Below are plausible price scenarios you can use in guides or deal-watch posts.
iPhone 16 (base) — 128GB
- Conservative: $799 (no discount)
- Realistic BF Offer: $749 – $769 (coupon + small retailer discount)
- Optimistic: $699 + $50 gift card (deep bundle)
iPhone 16 Pro — 256GB
- Conservative: $999 (no discount)
- Realistic BF Offer: Effective price $849–$899 with trade-in + carrier credits
- Optimistic: $799 + accessory bundle (rare, but possible with trade-in)
Refurbished/Renewed options
- Apple Certified Refurbished iPhone 16 (like-new): 10–18% off typical, sometimes more on BF week.
- Amazon Renewed / Best Buy Renewed: 12–25% off depending on stock.
See current Amazon price → https://amzn.to/3LFgrT0
🛒 Where to hunt the best iPhone 16 deals
iPhone 16 vs iPhone 15 deal comparison, is Black Friday the best
- Apple Store / Apple Refurbished — Great for warranty and safe refurb buys. Affiliate: Apple Affiliate (limited) or link to Apple gift cards.
- Amazon — Fastest restocks, Prime shipping, occasional gift-card bundles. High affiliate conversion.
- Best Buy — In-store pickup, price match windows, carrier switch bundles. Good affiliate program + electronics shoppers.
- Walmart & Target — Gift card bundles plus easy returns.
- Carrier stores (Verizon, AT&T, T-Mobile) — Best for aggressive trade-in credit promos; use carrier affiliate links where available.
- Refurbished marketplaces — Apple Certified Refurbished, Amazon Renewed, Gazelle, Decluttr.
🧩 Tips to Maximize Savings (and make your affiliate post convert)
- Promote trade-in calculators — Readers want to know their trade-in value; link to carrier trade-in pages and Apple’s trade-in tool.
- Show price history — Embed Keepa/CamelCamelCamel charts for Amazon product pages (builds trust).
- Highlight financing & cashback — Call out 0% APR and card promos (Amex / Citi / HDFC in India) — these convert well.
- Compare total out-the-door cost — Include tax, shipping, and activation fees in examples.
- Push certified refurbished — Some buyers will accept refurbished for 10–20% savings; link to Apple’s refurb store.
- Urgency + alerts — Encourage readers to set retailer alerts; link to price-tracker tools (Honey, Keepa) via affiliate links.